Or rather, no O.
What will become of next year's offense?
First, we hear that Chad Jackson has torn his ACL. That's about a 10 month re-hab, so the kid will miss another entire off season and training camp, so don't expect him to play at all next year. Add that to the fact that Troy Brown is a free agent and that leaves Jabar Gaffeny, Reche Caldwell, Bam Childress and Kelvin Kight as your WR's. Then we find out that Dillon wants out, "to retire". I can't be the only one disappointed with the way Maroney was running at the end of the season. In addition to Maroney, Kevin Faulk is the only other back under contract for next season. Daniel Graham and the Pats aren't even on the same page with their negotiations and it is a very good possibility they lose him to free agency. Compounding it all is the unknown reaction of Brady to fatherhood. The kid should be born sometime in the middle of training camp. Where do you think Brady's focus will be? He may be just fine, or he may not be as focused as he's always been. There IS that rumor out there that the Raiders may be willing to trade Randy Moss for a second round pick.....
I posted previously about some other WR's I think would be a good fit, so I did a little research on free agent RB's. I was looking for some thunder to go with Maroney and I found Chris Brown from Tennessee, Ledel Betts from Washington, Stephen Davis of the Rams and Anthony Thomas of the Bills. None of which would cost big bucks, but they would probably all be pretty effective as the change of pace back getting 5-6 carries a game.
As for the Defense, things might just round into shape. First, Samuel will probably be back for at least next season so that's a start. Second, Belichick was buddy buddy with Adelius Thomas at the pro bowl and Baltimore did not franchise him so he's free to go where he wants. Third, most mock drafts have the best available MLB in the draft, Patrick Willis, falling to the Pats at #28. Look for another update after the combine. If you have NFL network, you can watch most of the combine's physical tests, it's great fun!
Friday, February 23, 2007
Friday, February 02, 2007
"I'm fixing a hole...."
...only it's more like "now I know how many holes it takesTo fill the Albert Hall."
Enough about the Beatles, I'm really trying to fix the holes for the Patriots. First, our own free agents, in order of likelyhood of return:
Daniel Graham - most likely will get done without the franchise tag (90% chance)
Larry Izzo - as the special teams captian you have to imagine he's back (80%)
Troy Brown - I think he's here if he wants to be (75%)
Banta-Cain - Didn't do enough to impress other teams when he became a starter (75%)
- Wouldn't surprise me if Indy makes a play for him
Heath Evans - I think they let Patrick Pass go, and he's been a great blocker(75%)
Don Davis - flexible veteran special teams performer, just what Belichick likes (70%)
Seau - if he doesn't retire he'll have a home in NE (70%)
Asante Samuel - sources close to the Pats say they won't let him walk away for nothing. If they are unable to sign him to a deal, they will franchise him and if he won't play under a franchise tag next season, they'll trade him - just like they did with branch. Although, they may be able to get a 1st round pick as well as a 3rd or 4th. As much as I'd like to see him back, I don't think the Pats are willing to pay 10 million per for him (6yrs 36million and 24 million signing bonus)and someone else will be. (25%)
None of these guys really fills the glaring needs on this team. There are a ton of free agents out there and I've got my favorites. I'll list them for you, but keep in mind the Pats rarely set the market for free agents and are only active AFTER other teams have started signing players for a couple of weeks. The lone exception is Colvin, so I guess it's possible they will go get a big free agent or two. They are supposedly around 30 million under next years cap, so there's no excuse not to improve this off-season. And they'd better improve dramatically if they intend to do better than 8-8 against their brutal schedule next season.
LINEBACKER
The consensus is that the Pats must get younger and faster at LB. Given the Pats history with LB acquisitions, (they hit with Vrabel, Colvin and Seau but missed terribly with Brown and Beisel) this will be the most interesting position to watch this off-season. Here's the best of who's out there:
Lance Briggs - (Bears) Young, fast and atheletic playmaker. Bringing him in will cost the Pats a ton of money, especially given his comments about being reluctant to play in a 3-4. His acquisition would also mean that Vrabel gets moved inside fulltime.
Adelius Thomas* - (Ravens) At 29, he's not young, but he would certainly make the Pats younger. He has experience on the inside and the outsied and has even played as a DE in passing situations. Given his flexibility and experience this is probably the guy the Pats will/should target. *He's the guy I'd like to see them acquire.
Kawika Mitchell - (Chiefs) Leading tackler on an average defense, but has 4 years of experience as an inside LB. Plus he's only 27 and decent in pass coverage. The Pats may elect against him because he may be too small for their liking (6'1 253). He'd come cheaper than the Briggs and Thomas of the world.
London Fletcher-Baker - (Bills) A little on the old side at 31, but again, he would make the Pats younger at LB. You can't argue with his 9 years as an inside LB and his production (146 tackles and 4 INT's last season). He's intriging because he's productive as hell, but his age may limit the amount of competition to sign him. The Pats may not like his size either (5'10 245).
Rob Morris -(Indy) I don't think the Pats would really go after him, but the whole Indy-NE thing makes him interesting. It was after indy inserted him into the starting line-up that they started to stop the run. He is older at 32, but he's only ben in the league 7 years (he's a mormon and had to do missionary service for 3 yrs). He also played mostly outside and could transition to the inside. I could see Indy signing Banta Cain and the Pats retaliating by signing him or vice versa.
SAFETY
We've got to find an heir to Harrison. Hawkins is a nice player, but he's no Rodney. Neither is James Sanders and I'm not counting on Wilson suddenly returning to old form at safety. There are a couple of very good, 1st round, impact Safeties in the draft, but I'll do more onthe draft later. Here's the 4 best free agent safeties (and I like them all!)
Gibril Wilson* - (Giants) 25 yrs old, 103 tackles 3FF and 2 INT's last season, 114 tackles 2 FF and 2 INT's 2 yrs ago - his first as a starter. Young and productive. *Although I like all the safeties I'll mention here, Wilson's the guy I'd like to see in a Pats uniform.
Ken Hamlin - (Seattle) 26 years old, big hitter put up 96 tackles and 3 INT's last year. The knock on him is that he can be beat in coverage.
Deon Grant - (Carolina) Has already been mentioned around NE as a possible target. This is the guy that Colvin consulted afterhis hip injury. Grant had the same injury, the same surgery 2 yrs prior to Colvin and still has the same metal implant in his hip. I don't see the production here (only 60 tackles) but he's only 27 and would probably be a target because he'd come cheap.
Michael Lewis - (Philly) Another guy that's been mentioned as a possible Pats target. I'm very interested in his situation, to see if he gets short money or goes big time. The Eagles don'thave a lot of cap space and tried to sign him early last season with very short money. When he balked, the Eagles severly limited his playing time. Two years ago he had 107 tackles 1 FF and 2 INT's, last year in limited duty he had 58 tackles 1FF and 2 INT's. The Pats may be able to get him at a reasonable price, given the other free agent safeties out there.
There is really no one to speak of at CB, which makes signing Asante all that more necessary. The other Cornerback is Nate Clemets from Buffalo who is about the same player as Samuel. The other option for the Pats may be to sign one or two of these Safeties (or draft one) and move Eugene Wilson back to Corner.
Then there is the Dwight Freeney situation. I cannot verify that he is a free agent. Some sites say he is, some say he isn't. This is what I found: Dwight Freeney’s number comes up after the 2006 season — he signed a seven-year deal which voided to five based on reaching minimal incentives after being drafted 11th overall in 2002. Now, it would be great to see him leave Indy. In order to bring him to NE he'd have to switch to an Outside LB rather than DE. I think that's a pipe dream, but one never knows. Keep an eye on his situation.
WIDE RECEIVER
There are no #1 wide receivers available via free agency. You may be able to acquire Owens or Moss via trade, but I think that's highly doubtful. The Pats should focus on having 4 #2 receivers. Gaffney and Caldwell are ligit #2's and hopefully Jackson can progress to that for next year. Signing another #2 would give them a pretty decent corps of recievers.
Donte Stallworth - He's very fast, but will already be on his 3rd team in 5 years. I think he made a name for himself that his production doesn't live up to (38 catches 5 TD's last year and 70 catches 7 TD's 2 years ago). I sincerely hope the Pats don't sign him.
Patrick Crayton - I like his heart, you can watch him and tell that he'll do waht it takes to win. Plus he was burried behind Glenn and Owens. I think he's a great fit in NE. 36 catches and 4 TD's doesnt tell the story. How about the one game he started last season - 5 catches 104 yds and a TD. He won't be very expensive either.
DJ Hackett* - (Seattle) - This is a guy I believe is about to enter his prime and be very productive. He's been burried behind (and learning from) Bobby Engram, Darrel Jackson, Nate Burleson and Deion Branch. How was he supposed to be productive? *This is the receiver to get.
Drew Bennett - (Titans) - Rumor has it he wants to go to a place with a chance to win right away and doesn't want to build with Tennessee. Had a great season one year with Billy Volek as his QB. He's still only 28 and his size (6'5 206) makes him a nice target in the red zone.
That's it. Bring in a fresh LB, S, resign Asante and shore up the receivers. The draft is stocked with atheletic, impact players. The Pats current administration has nailed it's #1's in the past (Seymour, Graham, Warren, Wilfork, Mankins), so hopefully they'll continue that trend this year too.
Oh yeah, somebody told me there's a game on this weekend. Who cares. I might just watch the Family Guy marathon instead.
Enough about the Beatles, I'm really trying to fix the holes for the Patriots. First, our own free agents, in order of likelyhood of return:
Daniel Graham - most likely will get done without the franchise tag (90% chance)
Larry Izzo - as the special teams captian you have to imagine he's back (80%)
Troy Brown - I think he's here if he wants to be (75%)
Banta-Cain - Didn't do enough to impress other teams when he became a starter (75%)
- Wouldn't surprise me if Indy makes a play for him
Heath Evans - I think they let Patrick Pass go, and he's been a great blocker(75%)
Don Davis - flexible veteran special teams performer, just what Belichick likes (70%)
Seau - if he doesn't retire he'll have a home in NE (70%)
Asante Samuel - sources close to the Pats say they won't let him walk away for nothing. If they are unable to sign him to a deal, they will franchise him and if he won't play under a franchise tag next season, they'll trade him - just like they did with branch. Although, they may be able to get a 1st round pick as well as a 3rd or 4th. As much as I'd like to see him back, I don't think the Pats are willing to pay 10 million per for him (6yrs 36million and 24 million signing bonus)and someone else will be. (25%)
None of these guys really fills the glaring needs on this team. There are a ton of free agents out there and I've got my favorites. I'll list them for you, but keep in mind the Pats rarely set the market for free agents and are only active AFTER other teams have started signing players for a couple of weeks. The lone exception is Colvin, so I guess it's possible they will go get a big free agent or two. They are supposedly around 30 million under next years cap, so there's no excuse not to improve this off-season. And they'd better improve dramatically if they intend to do better than 8-8 against their brutal schedule next season.
LINEBACKER
The consensus is that the Pats must get younger and faster at LB. Given the Pats history with LB acquisitions, (they hit with Vrabel, Colvin and Seau but missed terribly with Brown and Beisel) this will be the most interesting position to watch this off-season. Here's the best of who's out there:
Lance Briggs - (Bears) Young, fast and atheletic playmaker. Bringing him in will cost the Pats a ton of money, especially given his comments about being reluctant to play in a 3-4. His acquisition would also mean that Vrabel gets moved inside fulltime.
Adelius Thomas* - (Ravens) At 29, he's not young, but he would certainly make the Pats younger. He has experience on the inside and the outsied and has even played as a DE in passing situations. Given his flexibility and experience this is probably the guy the Pats will/should target. *He's the guy I'd like to see them acquire.
Kawika Mitchell - (Chiefs) Leading tackler on an average defense, but has 4 years of experience as an inside LB. Plus he's only 27 and decent in pass coverage. The Pats may elect against him because he may be too small for their liking (6'1 253). He'd come cheaper than the Briggs and Thomas of the world.
London Fletcher-Baker - (Bills) A little on the old side at 31, but again, he would make the Pats younger at LB. You can't argue with his 9 years as an inside LB and his production (146 tackles and 4 INT's last season). He's intriging because he's productive as hell, but his age may limit the amount of competition to sign him. The Pats may not like his size either (5'10 245).
Rob Morris -(Indy) I don't think the Pats would really go after him, but the whole Indy-NE thing makes him interesting. It was after indy inserted him into the starting line-up that they started to stop the run. He is older at 32, but he's only ben in the league 7 years (he's a mormon and had to do missionary service for 3 yrs). He also played mostly outside and could transition to the inside. I could see Indy signing Banta Cain and the Pats retaliating by signing him or vice versa.
SAFETY
We've got to find an heir to Harrison. Hawkins is a nice player, but he's no Rodney. Neither is James Sanders and I'm not counting on Wilson suddenly returning to old form at safety. There are a couple of very good, 1st round, impact Safeties in the draft, but I'll do more onthe draft later. Here's the 4 best free agent safeties (and I like them all!)
Gibril Wilson* - (Giants) 25 yrs old, 103 tackles 3FF and 2 INT's last season, 114 tackles 2 FF and 2 INT's 2 yrs ago - his first as a starter. Young and productive. *Although I like all the safeties I'll mention here, Wilson's the guy I'd like to see in a Pats uniform.
Ken Hamlin - (Seattle) 26 years old, big hitter put up 96 tackles and 3 INT's last year. The knock on him is that he can be beat in coverage.
Deon Grant - (Carolina) Has already been mentioned around NE as a possible target. This is the guy that Colvin consulted afterhis hip injury. Grant had the same injury, the same surgery 2 yrs prior to Colvin and still has the same metal implant in his hip. I don't see the production here (only 60 tackles) but he's only 27 and would probably be a target because he'd come cheap.
Michael Lewis - (Philly) Another guy that's been mentioned as a possible Pats target. I'm very interested in his situation, to see if he gets short money or goes big time. The Eagles don'thave a lot of cap space and tried to sign him early last season with very short money. When he balked, the Eagles severly limited his playing time. Two years ago he had 107 tackles 1 FF and 2 INT's, last year in limited duty he had 58 tackles 1FF and 2 INT's. The Pats may be able to get him at a reasonable price, given the other free agent safeties out there.
There is really no one to speak of at CB, which makes signing Asante all that more necessary. The other Cornerback is Nate Clemets from Buffalo who is about the same player as Samuel. The other option for the Pats may be to sign one or two of these Safeties (or draft one) and move Eugene Wilson back to Corner.
Then there is the Dwight Freeney situation. I cannot verify that he is a free agent. Some sites say he is, some say he isn't. This is what I found: Dwight Freeney’s number comes up after the 2006 season — he signed a seven-year deal which voided to five based on reaching minimal incentives after being drafted 11th overall in 2002. Now, it would be great to see him leave Indy. In order to bring him to NE he'd have to switch to an Outside LB rather than DE. I think that's a pipe dream, but one never knows. Keep an eye on his situation.
WIDE RECEIVER
There are no #1 wide receivers available via free agency. You may be able to acquire Owens or Moss via trade, but I think that's highly doubtful. The Pats should focus on having 4 #2 receivers. Gaffney and Caldwell are ligit #2's and hopefully Jackson can progress to that for next year. Signing another #2 would give them a pretty decent corps of recievers.
Donte Stallworth - He's very fast, but will already be on his 3rd team in 5 years. I think he made a name for himself that his production doesn't live up to (38 catches 5 TD's last year and 70 catches 7 TD's 2 years ago). I sincerely hope the Pats don't sign him.
Patrick Crayton - I like his heart, you can watch him and tell that he'll do waht it takes to win. Plus he was burried behind Glenn and Owens. I think he's a great fit in NE. 36 catches and 4 TD's doesnt tell the story. How about the one game he started last season - 5 catches 104 yds and a TD. He won't be very expensive either.
DJ Hackett* - (Seattle) - This is a guy I believe is about to enter his prime and be very productive. He's been burried behind (and learning from) Bobby Engram, Darrel Jackson, Nate Burleson and Deion Branch. How was he supposed to be productive? *This is the receiver to get.
Drew Bennett - (Titans) - Rumor has it he wants to go to a place with a chance to win right away and doesn't want to build with Tennessee. Had a great season one year with Billy Volek as his QB. He's still only 28 and his size (6'5 206) makes him a nice target in the red zone.
That's it. Bring in a fresh LB, S, resign Asante and shore up the receivers. The draft is stocked with atheletic, impact players. The Pats current administration has nailed it's #1's in the past (Seymour, Graham, Warren, Wilfork, Mankins), so hopefully they'll continue that trend this year too.
Oh yeah, somebody told me there's a game on this weekend. Who cares. I might just watch the Family Guy marathon instead.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)
